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Normalcy bias
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The normalcy bias, or normality bias, refers to a mental
state people enter when facing a disaster. It causes people to
underestimate both the possibility of a disaster occurring and
its possible effects. This often results in situations where
people fail to adequately prepare for a disaster, and on a
larger scale, the failure of the government to include the
populace in its disaster preparations. The assumption that is
made in the case of the normalcy bias is that since a disaster
never has occurred then it never will occur. It also results in
the inability of people to cope with a disaster once it occurs.
People with a normalcy bias have difficulties reacting to
something they have not experienced before. People also tend
to interpret warnings in the most optimistic way possible,
seizing on any ambiguities to infer a less serious situation.
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